Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 74'

Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 11.15am
FC Twente 3 - 3 Sparta
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
PSV 3 - 0 Ajax
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Xavi Simons

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 17.77% (+0.02)
Draw 20.56% (+0.01)
PSV Eindhoven 61.67% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.81% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.66% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.34%
Over 3.5 37.29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 62.71% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.01% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.99% (+0.01)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 63.85% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.15% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.93% (-0.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 87.41% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.59% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 61.32% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 38.68% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 17.77%
Draw 20.56%
PSV Eindhoven 61.67%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 17.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.56%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 61.67%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lennart Thy 32' goal
  • Joeri de Kamps 39' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 54' redcard
  • Vito van Crooij 62' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 63' yellowcard
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Aaron Meijers 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philipp Max 20'
  • yellowcard Jordan Teze 38'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 38'
  • goal Mauro Junior 59'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Sangare 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 82' goal
  • Ryan Thomas 86' goal
  • yellowcard Dirk Abels 65'
  • yellowcard Maduka Okoye 79'
  • goal Lennart Thy 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
3
5
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Bryan Smeets 4' goal
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Danzell Gravenberch 75' goal
  • Reda Kharchouch 87' goal
  • goal Mauro Junior 24'
  • yellowcard Ryan Thomas 37'
  • goal Donyell Malen 47'
  • goal Noni Madueke 49'
  • goal Philipp Max 71'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Nov 29, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Ledezma 30' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 78' goal
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 66'
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 81'
  • yellowcard Aaron Meijers 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 12, 2020 11.15am
Philips Stadion