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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
0 - 1
PSV


de Guzman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Ghazi (74')
Simons (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Sparta
Sunday, April 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

 Sparta's only remaining objective will be to try to chase down AZ in fourth, but they would likely need to win all of their remaining games to even have a chance, and PSV are a frightening prospect to face right now. With the confidence running through the side following two massive victories over Ajax, PSV are expected to keep their excellent late-season form going here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
17.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 20.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 61.67% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.66% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)62.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)36.15% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.02 0.02)72.93% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.59% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 17.77%
    PSV Eindhoven 61.67%
    Draw 20.56%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 17.77%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 61.67%

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
12.9%
Draw
6.5%
PSV Eindhoven
80.6%
31
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta

Madueke (51')

Vriends (45'), van Crooij (52'), Verschueren (70')
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 17
Sparta
3-5
PSV
Smeets (4'), Gravenberch (75'), Kharchouch (87' pen.)
Beugelsdijk (45+2')
Junior (24'), Malen (47', 90+3'), Madueke (49'), Max (71')
Thomas (37')
Nov 29, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
PSV
1-0
Sparta
Malen (78')
Ledezma (30')

Mijnans (66'), Engels (81'), Meijers (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276
> Eredivisie Full Table


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