Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
3 - 0
Ajax

de Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Volendam 2-3 PSV
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Ajax
44.14% ( -0.28)	21.44% ( 0.04)	34.41% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 70.86% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.54% (

-0.14)

28.45% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.69% (

-0.17)

49.3% (

0.16)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11% (

-0.15)

13.88% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.7% (

-0.29)

41.29% (

0.29)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

0.04)

17.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.62% (

0.08)

48.38% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 44.14%

Ajax 34.41%

Draw 21.44%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.14%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.41%