Eredivisie Gameweek 30
PSV
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Ajax
  • Luuk de Jong 13' goal
  • Xavi Simons 54' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 78' goal

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 1.30pm
Volendam 2 - 3 PSV
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Xavi Simons

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 7.00pm
Ajax 3 - 1 Emmen
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 44.14% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 21.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Ajax 34.41% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

70.86% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.54% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 28.45% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 50.69% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 49.3% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 4.5 31.38% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 68.62% ▲ (+0.16)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 86.11% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 13.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 58.7% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 41.29% ▲ (+0.29)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 82.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 51.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 48.38% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 44.14%
Draw 21.44%
Ajax 34.41%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 44.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.44%
Ajax
1-2 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 34.41%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Ajax
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
PSV
  • Lorenzo Lucca 83' goal
  • goal Luuk de Jong 23'
  • goal Erick Gutierrez 50'
Dutch Super Cup
Ajax
Jul 30, 2022 7.00pm
3
5
HT : 1 2
FT
PSV
  • Steven Bergwijn 15' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 41' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Antony 54' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 72' goal
  • Calvin Bassey 78' redcard
  • Devyne Rensch 90' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kudus 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Dusan Tadic 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Guus Til 32'
  • yellowcard Walter Benitez 41'
  • goal Guus Til 45'+2'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 65'
  • goal Guus Til 69'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 71'
  • goal Xavi Simons 90'+1'
KNVB Beker
PSV
Apr 17, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Erick Gutierrez 48' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 50' goal
  • Philipp Max 63' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 88' yellowcard
  • Mario Gotze 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 18'
  • goal Ryan Gravenberch 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
PSV
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Armando Obispo 27' yellowcard
  • Roger Schmidt 50' yellowcard
  • Mario Gotze 53' goal
  • Mauro Junior 79' yellowcard
  • Erick Gutierrez 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 24'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 34'
  • goal Noussair Mazraoui 74'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Ajax
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
PSV
  • Steven Berghuis 19' goal
  • Edson Alvarez 24' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 29' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Haller 56' goal
  • Antony 66' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 76' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Max 36'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinicius 69'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
PSV
Feb 28, 2021 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Ajax
  • Eran Zahavi 39' goal
  • Olivier Boscagli 54' yellowcard
  • Eran Zahavi 87' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 89' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 38'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 90'+2'

Form Data

Volendam 2 - 3 PSV
PSV 4 - 0 Excelsior
Spakenburg 1 - 2 PSV
Nijmegen 2 - 4 PSV
Vitesse 1 - 1 PSV
PSV 5 - 2 Cambuur
Ajax 3 - 1 Emmen
Ajax 4 - 0 Sittard
Feyenoord 1 - 2 Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 3 Feyenoord
Heerenveen 2 - 4 Ajax