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Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Feyenoord

Ajax
2 - 3
Feyenoord

Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')

The Match

Match Report

Feyenoord score an 86th-minute winner to beat Ajax away for the first time since 2005, with their 3-2 win in De Klassieker sending them six points clear in the Eredivisie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-4 Ajax
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Feyenoord

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 7-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
53.08% (-1.479 -1.48)21.44% (0.253 0.25)25.48% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 64.52% (0.479 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.8% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.91% (0.033999999999999 0.03)56.08% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)13.12% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.883 -0.88)39.76% (0.88 0.88)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (0.914 0.91)25.73% (-0.918 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (1.225 1.23)60.66% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 53.08%
    Feyenoord 25.48%
    Draw 21.44%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.213 0.21)
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.104 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Ajax
57.7%
Draw
17.3%
Feyenoord
25.0%
52
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Feyenoord
1-1
Ajax
Paixao (34')
Jahanbakhsh (24'), Kokcu (55'), Holmgren Pedersen (60'), Wieffer (79')
Klaassen (71')
Taylor (8'), Maduro (24'), Alvarez (39'), Klaassen (80')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Ajax
3-2
Feyenoord
Haller (24'), Tadic (78'), Antony (86')
Antony (88'), Klaassen (90+5')
Antony (90+3')
Sinisterra (8'), Til (28')
Dec 19, 2021 1.30pm
Feyenoord
0-2
Ajax

Linssen (13'), Toornstra (37'), Aursnes (51'), Slot (72'), Nelson (80')
Senesi (44' og.), Tadic (81' pen.)
Gravenberch (15'), Haller (32'), Antony (34')
May 9, 2021 1.30pm
Feyenoord
0-3
Ajax

Fer (14'), Malacia (38')
Malacia (60')
Senesi (21' og.), Haps (67' og.), Kudus (79')
Alvarez (44'), Martinez (79')
Alvarez (45+1')
Jan 17, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
1-0
Feyenoord
Gravenberch (22')