Eredivisie
Gameweek
25
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Pelle van Amersfoort
42'
-
Sydney van Hooijdonk
79'
-
Mohammed Kudus
10'
-
Edson Alvarez
16'
-
Steven Bergwijn
19'
-
Kenneth Taylor
52'
Heerenveen vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-3 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Heerenveen
17.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
18.75%
▼
(-0.06)
Ajax
64%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
61.46%
▲
(+0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.47%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
32.52%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 3.5
45.82%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 3.5
54.18%
▼
(-0.35)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5
68.04%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
31.95%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
31.59%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
68.41%
▼
(-0.24)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
90.32%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
9.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
67.72%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
32.28%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Heerenveen
17.25%
Draw
18.75%
Ajax
64%
Heerenveen
2-1
@
4.7%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 17.25%
1-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 17.25%
Draw
1-1
@
8.24%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.75%
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.75%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.62%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 64%
0-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 64%
Head to Head
Eredivisie
Gameweek
6
-
Davy Klaassen
4'
-
Kenneth Taylor
16'
-
Mohammed Kudus
48'
-
Mohammed Kudus
59'
-
Brian Brobbey
70'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
29
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
19'
-
Steven Berghuis
33'
-
Sebastien Haller
38'
-
Brian Brobbey
85'
-
Edson Alvarez
90'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
8
-
Nicolas Madsen
55'
-
Rami Kaib
61'
-
Milan van Ewijk
90'
-
Sven van Beek
90'+1'
-
Sebastien Haller
24'
-
David Neres
75'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
28
-
Mitchell van Bergen
27'
-
Dusan Tadic
36'
-
Sebastien Haller
61'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
86'
KNVB Beker
-
Davy Klaassen
19'
-
Dusan Tadic
63'
-
David Neres
77'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
5
-
Dusan Tadic
4'
-
Dusan Tadic
28'
-
Mohammed Kudus
35'
-
Davy Klaassen
72'
-
Lisandro Martinez
84'
-
Antony
87'
-
Henk Veerman
66'
-
Rodney Kongolo
72'
-
Jan Paul van Hecke
74'