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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Marco van Ginkel
30'
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Davy Klaassen
32'
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Edson Alvarez
54'
Vitesse vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result
Vitesse
18.59%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
20.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Ajax
60.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
57.63%
▼
(-0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.29%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
38.7%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 3.5
38.99%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 3.5
61.01%
▲
(+0.56)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
65.71%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
34.28%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
29.01%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 1.5
70.98%
▲
(+0.43)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.7%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
12.3%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
61.92%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
38.08%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
Vitesse
18.59%
Draw
20.51%
Ajax
60.9%
Vitesse
2-1
@
5.06%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.59%
1-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.59%
Draw
1-1
@
9.46%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.51%
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.51%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.9%
0-2 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.9%
Edson Alvarez
24'
