MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 23:13:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
Ajax

Vitesse
1 - 2
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Klaassen (32'), Alvarez (54')
Alvarez (52'), Wijndal (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Vitesse 1-3 Ajax

Having been dumped out of Europe quite early, Ajax know that anything less than a league title would represent a disastrous season for them. We are backing them to get the job done here and keep the pressure up on Feyenoord in the race for glory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
VitesseDrawAjax
18.59% (-0.073 -0.07) 20.51% (0.081 0.08) 60.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)38.7% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99% (-0.548 -0.55)61.01% (0.551 0.55)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.387 -0.39)34.28% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (-0.418 -0.42)70.98% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)12.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92% (-0.338 -0.34)38.08% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 18.59%
    Ajax 60.9%
    Draw 20.51%
VitesseDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.59%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.26% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.92% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.9%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Ajax

Vitesse
11.8%
Draw
7.8%
Ajax
80.4%
51
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-2
Vitesse
Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')
Manhoef (25', 74')
Reiziger (84')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-2
Ajax
Openda (52', 56')
Brobbey (15'), Alvarez (87')
Alvarez (24'), Brobbey (73'), Blind (73'), Klaassen (76')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

Wittek (52')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-3
Ajax
Openda (44')
Hajek (23')
Haller (12'), Antony (43'), Martinez (75')
Antony (25'), Neres (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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