Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.6%) and 0-1 (6.46%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.