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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.6%) and 0-1 (6.46%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 26.45% ( | 21.37% ( | 52.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.07% ( | 32.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.36% ( | 54.64% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% | 24.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( | 58.8% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( | 12.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.56% ( | 39.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 2-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-3 @ 2.11% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 2-3 @ 4.48% ( 1-4 @ 3.24% ( 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 2-4 @ 2.29% ( 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 2-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 52.18% |