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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 50.53% ( | 23.52% ( | 25.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( | 43.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( | 65.98% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( | 47.71% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( | 30.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.95% |