Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Feyenoord
7 - 1
Shakhtar

(Feyenoord win 8-2 on aggregate)

Gimenez (9'), Kokcu (24', 38' pen.), Idrissi (49', 60'), Jahanbakhsh (64'), Danilo (66')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kelsy (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Feyenoord and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Volendam
Sunday, March 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 0-3 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
55.7% ( 0.9)	21.61% ( 0.49)	22.68% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 60.39% (

-3.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88% (

-4.03)

38.11% (

4.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61% (

-4.42)

60.38% (

4.42)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36% (

-1.07)

13.64% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.19% (

-2.18)

40.81% (

2.17)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-3.37)

30.07% (

3.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

-4.24)

66.2% (

4.23)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 55.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk 22.68%

Draw 21.61%

Feyenoord	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.21) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.92) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.31) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.74) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.68%