Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.