Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
2 - 1
Rennes

(3-3 on aggregate)

Kryskiv (11'), Bondarenko (45' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Toko Ekambi (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Last Game: Shakhtar 3-2 Vorskla
Wednesday, November 23 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Rennes
20.42% ( 0.03)	21.71% ( -0.01)	57.87% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

0.08)

41.49% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1% (

0.08)

63.89% (

-0.08)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

0.08)

34.05% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26% (

0.08)

70.73% (

-0.08)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.9% (

0.02)

14.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.29% (

0.04)

41.7% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 20.42%

Rennes 57.87%

Draw 21.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.42%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.87%