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Ligue 1

Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Rennes

Lorient
2 - 1
Rennes

Talbi (13'), Le Bris (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tait (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Lorient (1-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawRennes
23.49% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.71% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)52.79% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (0.031999999999996 0.03)46.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.97% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.1% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)70.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.02300000000001 0.02)17.65% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.26% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 23.49%
    Rennes 52.79%
    Draw 23.71%
LorientDrawRennes
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.49%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.79%

How you voted: Lorient vs Rennes

Lorient
19.4%
Draw
13.6%
Rennes
67.0%
103
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 4.05pm
Rennes
0-1
Lorient

Truffert (62'), Theate (87'), Traore (87')
Theate (65' og.)
Le Goff (75')
Apr 24, 2022 12pm
Rennes
5-0
Lorient
Bourigeaud (17'), Terrier (19'), Traore (47'), Tait (79'), Laborde (90+2')
Santamaria (26')
Aguerd (58')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Rennes
Laborde (75'), Doku (78')
Majer (32'), Doku (83')
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
Rennes
1-1
Lorient
Terrier (14')
Soppy (79'), Martin (90')
Boisgard (83')
Chalobah (87')
Dec 20, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-3
Rennes

Delaplace (74')
Da Silva (23'), Bourigeaud (70'), Terrier (76')
Maouassa (48'), Truffert (66')