Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%).

Result
Bastia	Draw	Lorient
33.12% ( -0.41)	26.77% ( 0.11)	40.11% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.2% (

-0.51)

53.79% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73% (

-0.43)

75.26% (

0.43)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-0.52)

30.49% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3% (

-0.62)

66.7% (

0.62)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

-0.07)

26.31% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56% (

-0.09)

61.44% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bastia 33.12%

Lorient 40.11%

Draw 26.77%

Bastia	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.12%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.11%