Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lille |
42.88% ( 3.97) | 25.21% ( -0.37) | 31.91% ( -3.6) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( 0.8) | 47.6% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( 0.73) | 69.8% ( -0.73) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( 2.34) | 22.16% ( -2.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( 3.4) | 55.55% ( -3.4) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -1.83) | 28.21% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( -2.37) | 63.9% ( 2.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.44) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |