Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
1 - 3
Lille

Gouiri (1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zhegrova (59'), Cabella (85'), Gomes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lille
42.88% ( 3.97)	25.21% ( -0.37)	31.91% ( -3.6)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4% (

0.8)

47.6% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2% (

0.73)

69.8% (

-0.73)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

2.34)

22.16% (

-2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45% (

3.4)

55.55% (

-3.4)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

-1.83)

28.21% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09% (

-2.37)

63.9% (

2.37)

Score Analysis

Rennes 42.88%

Lille 31.91%

Draw 25.21%

Rennes	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.44) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.91%