Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
| 34.85% ( | 24.39% ( | 40.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( | 43.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( | 65.46% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( | 24.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( | 58.61% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( | 21.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( | 54.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.76% |