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Rennes
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Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Rennes

Toulouse
3 - 1
Rennes

Ratao (27'), Aboukhlal (28'), Dallinga (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Rouault (55' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 1-3 Lille
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawRennes
34.85% (-0.796 -0.8)24.39% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)40.75% (0.89 0.89)
Both teams to score 59.67% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (0.307 0.31)43.06% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (0.303 0.3)65.46% (-0.304 -0.3)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)24.25% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-0.427 -0.43)58.61% (0.425 0.42)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (0.557 0.56)21.22% (-0.558 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (0.85599999999999 0.86)54.11% (-0.858 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 34.85%
    Rennes 40.76%
    Draw 24.39%
ToulouseDrawRennes
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.76%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Rennes

Toulouse
40.5%
Draw
31.1%
Rennes
28.4%
74
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Feb 29, 2020 7pm
Oct 27, 2019 2pm
Rennes
3-2
Toulouse
Niang (3'), Hunou (6'), Gboho (92')
Bourigeaud (65')
Dossevi (41'), Gradel (84')
Moreira (36'), Amian (79')
May 5, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
2-2
Rennes
Durmaz (40' pen.), Dossevi (51')
Sidibe (21'), Sanogo (30'), Sangare (42')
Niang (35'), Sarr (58' pen.)
Grenier (29'), Niang (31'), Lea Siliki (90')
Sep 30, 2018 2pm
Rennes
1-1
Toulouse
Niang (70' pen.)
Andre (59')
Todibo (88')
Sangare (28'), Leya Iseka (43'), Todibo (69')
Leya Iseka (43')