Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 8, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

Stade Paul Lignon

Toulouse
3 - 1
Reims

Diouf (23' og.), Aboukhlal (35'), Chaibi (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cajuste (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Toulouse and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Reims
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Reims
40.9% ( 0.16)	26.61% ( -0.05)	32.49% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

0.17)

53.28% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

0.14)

74.83% (

-0.14)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.16)

25.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.22)

60.56% (

-0.22)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

0.01)

30.65% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

0.01)

66.89% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 40.89%

Reims 32.49%

Draw 26.61%

Toulouse	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.49%