MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 08:22:38| >> :600:2826344:2826344:
Toulouse
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 8, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade Paul Lignon
Reims

Toulouse
3 - 1
Reims

Diouf (23' og.), Aboukhlal (35'), Chaibi (62')
Aboukhlal (55'), Spierings (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cajuste (89')
Lopy (7'), Busi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Toulouse and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Reims
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Reims

While Toulouse have lost just two games at home this term, Reims have been beaten only twice on their travels. A close contest is in store, then, but the visitors have momentum on their side and can secure a place in the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawReims
40.9% (0.164 0.16) 26.61% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 32.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.56% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.167 0.17)53.28% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.141 0.14)74.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.164 0.16)25.65% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.224 0.22)60.56% (-0.22 -0.22)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.89% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 40.89%
    Reims 32.49%
    Draw 26.61%
ToulouseDrawReims
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.49%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Reims

Toulouse
50.8%
Draw
20.0%
Reims
29.2%
65
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Apr 11, 2020 7pm
Dec 14, 2019 7pm
Feb 10, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
1-1
Reims
Gradel (81')
Cahuzac (12'), Shoji (84')
Oudin (55')
Dingome (26'), Hyun-Jun (45'), Dia (71'), Fontaine (85')
Dec 5, 2018 6pm
Reims
0-1
Toulouse

Romao (48'), Engels (60'), Doumbia (79')
Sylla (45')
Gradel (39'), Durmaz (46'), Sylla (77'), Garcia (78'), Diakite (82')
Garcia (90')
rhs 2.0
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