Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.