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Ligue 1

Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Lorient logo

Reims
4 - 2
Lorient

Balogun (44' pen., 61', 64'), Doumbia (51')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Le Fee (10'), Kone (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Rennes
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawLorient
45.12% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)25.93%28.95% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)51.88% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (0.004999999999999 0)73.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.012 0.01)32.44% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.96% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reims 45.12%
    Lorient 28.95%
    Draw 25.93%
ReimsDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.37%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Reims vs Lorient

Reims
39.5%
Draw
30.9%
Lorient
29.6%
81
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 4pm
Lorient
0-0
Reims

Agbadou (13')
May 1, 2022 2pm
Lorient
1-2
Reims
Moffi (32')
Monconduit (22'), Abergel (74')
Zeneli (17'), Bilal Toure (59')
Doumbia (57')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Reims
0-0
Lorient

Munetsi (12'), Matusiwa (69')

Laporte (75'), Abergel (88'), Diarra (90')
Feb 6, 2021 4pm
Lorient
1-0
Reims
Abergel (53')

Kutesa (27'), Mbuku (74'), De Smet (87'), Chavalerin (90+4')
Oct 17, 2020 4pm
Reims
1-3
Lorient
Cassama (15')
Chavalerin (19'), Ekitike (45+1'), Drammeh (48'), Faes (54')
Cassama (70'), Donis (90')
Hamel (61'), Wissa (64' pen.), Moffi (80')
Hamel (34')