Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Minai had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Minai win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Minai	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
18.79% ( -0.32)	21.4% ( -0.12)	59.8% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.49% (

0.06)

42.51% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08% (

0.06)

64.92% (

-0.06)

Minai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.3)

36.32% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.31)

73.1% (

0.31)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

0.16)

13.83% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.81% (

0.31)

41.19% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Minai 18.79%

Shakhtar Donetsk 59.8%

Draw 21.4%

Minai	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.79%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 9.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 59.8%