Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (5.35%).