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Europa League

Rennes
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
Shakhtar Donetsk

Rennes
2 - 1
Shakhtar

Toko Ekambi (52'), Salah (106')
FT
(aet)
Belocian (119' og.)
Shakhtar win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rennes and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Rennes
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (5.35%).

Result
RennesDrawShakhtar Donetsk
59.2% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.94% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.84% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)38.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)60.53% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.36% (-0.012 -0.01)12.64% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)38.79% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 59.2%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 19.94%
    Draw 20.86%
RennesDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.94%

How you voted: Rennes vs Shakhtar

Rennes
68.5%
Draw
10.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.0%
143
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Shakhtar
2-1
Rennes
Kryskiv (11'), Bondarenko (45' pen.)
Stepanenko (40'), Mykhaylichenko (84'), Zubkov (85')
Toko Ekambi (59')
Bourigeaud (43'), Ugochukwu (57'), Omari (85')