Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.