Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 at 1pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Metalist Kharkiv
2 - 1
Inhulets

Rusyn (40'), Bezuglyy (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kozak (23')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Metalist Kharkiv and Inhulets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 0-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Tuesday, November 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 1-0 Luhansk
Tuesday, November 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.

Result
Metalist KharkivDrawInhulets
36.98% (-0.259 -0.26)27.5% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)35.52% (0.314 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (0.23 0.23)56.37% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (0.187 0.19)77.39% (-0.18799999999999 -0.19)
Metalist Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)29.33% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)65.3% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.315 0.31)30.23% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.375 0.38)66.39% (-0.37700000000001 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Metalist Kharkiv 36.98%
    Inhulets 35.51%
    Draw 27.5%
Metalist KharkivDrawInhulets
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 5.30pm
Metalist Kharkiv
4-0
Inhulets
Batyushin (44'), Zapadnya (64'), Marlyson (66'), Kryskiv (83')

Bartulovic (41')