Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.