Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Veres had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Veres win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.