Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.