Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.