Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.