Shakhtar Donetsk
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Feyenoord

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Feyenoord

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawFeyenoord
19.26% (0.022000000000002 0.02)20.61% (0.023000000000003 0.02)60.13% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.92% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)38.07% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)60.34% (0.073 0.07)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.21% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (-0.023 -0.02)69.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)12.32% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)38.12% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 19.26%
    Feyenoord 60.13%
    Draw 20.61%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 5.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.26%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 60.13%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Feyenoord

Shakhtar Donetsk
37.7%
Draw
21.6%
Feyenoord
40.7%
162
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group F
Shakhtar
3-1
Feyenoord
Ferreyra (14'), Marlos (17', 67')
Khocholava (36')
Jorgensen (12')
Berghuis (49'), El Ahmadi (54')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Group F
Feyenoord
1-2
Shakhtar
Berghuis (8')
El Ahmadi (66'), Amrabat (87')
Bernard (24', 54')
Rakitskiy (48'), Taison (64'), Kovalenko (77'), Butko (90')
Rakitskiy (75')