Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.84%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 21.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
21.33% ( -0.07)	20.82% ( -0.06)	57.84% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.93% (

0.21)

36.07% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.83% (

0.23)

58.17% (

-0.24)

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

0.06)

30.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

0.07)

66.22% (

-0.08)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.66% (

0.1)

12.34% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.85% (

0.22)

38.15% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 21.33%

Shakhtar Donetsk 57.84%

Draw 20.82%

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 21.33%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.82%	1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 57.84%