Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.84%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 21.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.