Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2022 at 11am UK
Kasakhi Marzik

Kryvbas Kryvyi
1 - 0
Vorskla

Kapic (50' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

All competitions
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 2-1 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Vorskla 1-0 Lviv
Friday, November 4 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawVorskla Poltava
46.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)26.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.67% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)53.64% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.13% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.21% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)57.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94%71.05%
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 46.13%
    Vorskla Poltava 27.67%
    Draw 26.2%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.13%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.67%