/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fvollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
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Xavier Mbuyamba
55'
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Daryl van Mieghem
61'
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Luuk de Jong
33'
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Guus Til
40'
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Guus Til
58'
FC Volendam vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F37%2Fsantiago-gimenez.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
FC Volendam
12.47%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
15.89%
▲
(+0.03)
PSV Eindhoven
71.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
59.76%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.96%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
29.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
49.98%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 3.5
50.02%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 4.5
30.72%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 4.5
69.28%
▲
(+0.34)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5
64.36%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
35.64%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
27.59%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
72.41%
▲
(+0.32)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
92.86%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
7.14%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
74.01%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
25.99%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
FC Volendam
12.47%
Draw
15.89%
PSV Eindhoven
71.64%
FC Volendam
2-1
@
3.58%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 12.47%
1-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 12.47%
Draw
1-1
@
6.93%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.89%
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.89%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2
@
9.15%
▲
(+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
1-6 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-6 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 71.64%
0-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
1-6 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-6 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 71.64%