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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 40.17% ( | 24.14% ( | 35.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( | 41.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( | 64.12% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( | 23.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.69% |