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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 64.59% ( | 19.7% ( | 15.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( | 40.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( | 62.56% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( | 11.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( | 36.87% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( | 38.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( | 75.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.58% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.71% |