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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
64.59% ( 3.01) | 19.7% ( -1.01) | 15.71% ( -2.01) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.81% ( 0.91) | 40.19% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.44% ( 0.93) | 62.56% ( -0.93) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% ( 1.12) | 11.73% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% ( 2.35) | 36.87% ( -2.35) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -1.87) | 38.53% ( 1.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( -1.82) | 75.28% ( 1.82) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.49) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.58% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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