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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 41.3% ( | 24.92% ( | 33.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( | 22.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( | 55.47% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( | 61.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.31% Total : 33.78% |