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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
48.35% | 24.64% | 27.01% |
Both teams to score 54.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% | 47.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% | 69.86% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% | 19.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.81% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% | 31.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% | 68.12% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.93% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.2% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |