Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.