Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Spakenburg
68.08% ( -0.08)	17.72% ( 0.03)	14.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.03% (

-0.04)

33.97% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.17% (

-0.04)

55.83% (

0.05)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

-0.02)

9.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.03% (

-0.07)

30.98% (

0.07)

Spakenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.43% (

0.04)

36.57% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65% (

0.04)

73.36% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 68.08%

Spakenburg 14.2%

Draw 17.72%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Spakenburg
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 68.08%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.72%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.2%