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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.42% ( -0.41) | 22.7% ( 0.09) | 24.89% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.3% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.22% ( -0.09) | 40.78% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.84% ( -0.09) | 63.16% ( 0.09) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.37% ( -0.17) | 15.63% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.36% ( -0.32) | 44.64% ( 0.32) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( 0.21) | 29.72% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.23% ( 0.25) | 65.78% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |