Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Volendam

van Hooijdonk (6', 33')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Veerman (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	FC Volendam
52.42% ( -0.41)	22.7% ( 0.09)	24.89% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 59.3% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.22% (

-0.09)

40.78% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.84% (

-0.09)

63.16% (

0.09)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

-0.17)

15.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36% (

-0.32)

44.64% (

0.32)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

0.21)

29.72% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

0.25)

65.78% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 52.42%

FC Volendam 24.89%

Draw 22.7%

Heerenveen	Draw	FC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.42%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.89%