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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Heerenveen

AZ
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Mous (75' og.)
Karlsson (41'), Clasie (52'), Reijnders (79'), van Brederode (90'), Mihailovic (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Hooijdonk (5')
Kaib (85'), Nunnely (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Heerenveen

AZ and Heerenveen have had little problem finding the back of the net in recent weeks and we expect both teams to register at least once here. That said, AZ boast more quality all over the pitch and we are backing them to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
59.73% (-1.249 -1.25) 21.42% (0.128 0.13) 18.85% (1.121 1.12)
Both teams to score 54.93% (1.718 1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (1.233 1.23)42.49% (-1.232 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (1.218 1.22)64.9% (-1.218 -1.22)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (0.01700000000001 0.02)13.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (0.034999999999997 0.03)41.22% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (1.983 1.98)36.24% (-1.981 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (1.959 1.96)73.03% (-1.958 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59.73%
    Heerenveen 18.85%
    Draw 21.41%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.539 -0.54)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.73%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.268 0.27)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.268 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Heerenveen
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
Aug 29, 2021 3.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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