/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Manfred Ugalde
8'
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Manfred Ugalde
11'
-
Jesper Karlsson
66'
FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fpascal-jansen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
50.09%
▲
(+0.25)
Draw
24.34%
▼
(-0.03)
AZ Alkmaar
25.58%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
54.48%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.52%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
47.48%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
30.31%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
69.7%
▲
(+0.09)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
81.01%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
18.99%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
49.46%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
50.54%
▼
(-0.11)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
67.25%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
32.75%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
30.69%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
69.31%
▲
(+0.26)
Score analysis
FC Twente
50.09%
Draw
24.34%
AZ Alkmaar
25.58%
FC Twente
1-0
@
10.33%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.09%
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.09%
Draw
1-1
@
11.53%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
@
6.94%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.58%
1-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.58%
