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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (8', 11')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Karlsson (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
50.09% (0.248 0.25)24.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)25.58% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)47.48% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.060999999999993 0.06)18.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.106 0.11)50.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.235 -0.23)32.75% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.262 -0.26)69.31% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 50.09%
    AZ Alkmaar 25.58%
    Draw 24.34%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.58%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
AZ Alkmaar
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Clasie (46')
Ugalde (81')
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
AZ
0-1
FC Twente

Koopmeiners (8'), Hatzidiakos (75')
Brenet (62')
Sadilek (38'), Propper (79')
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
Dec 13, 2020 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
AZ
Danilo (73' pen.)
Drommel (33'), Danilo (90+2')
Oosterwolde (89')
Koopmeiners (34' pen., 90'), Sugawara (43')