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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (8', 11')
Pleguezuelo (61'), Cerny (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Karlsson (66')
Karlsson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ head into the clash on a better run of results but Twente have repeatedly shown how tough to beat they are on home turf. We expect a highly-entertaining affair here with goals at both ends and honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
50.09% (0.248 0.25) 24.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.58% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)47.48% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.060999999999993 0.06)18.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.106 0.11)50.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.235 -0.23)32.75% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.262 -0.26)69.31% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 50.09%
    AZ Alkmaar 25.58%
    Draw 24.34%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.58%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
AZ Alkmaar
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
Dec 13, 2020 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
AZ
Danilo (73' pen.)
Drommel (33'), Danilo (90+2')
Oosterwolde (89')
Koopmeiners (34' pen., 90'), Sugawara (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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