Eredivisie Gameweek 25
AZ
Mar 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Groningen
  • Jesper Karlsson 4' goal

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2023 7.00pm
Vitesse 0 - 1 AZ
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 7.00pm
Feyenoord 1 - 0 Groningen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 82.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 11.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Groningen 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 27.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 52.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 47.58% ▲ (+0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 95.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 80.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 53.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 46.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 17.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 82.4%
Draw 11.33%
Groningen 6.26%
AZ Alkmaar
3-0 @ 10.49%
2-0 @ 10.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.39%
7-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 82.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 11.33%
Groningen
1-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 6.26%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Groningen
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
AZ
  • Ricardo Pepi 42' goal
  • goal Dani de Wit 3'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 19'
  • goal Kerkez Milos 62'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
AZ
Dec 21, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
  • Jesper Karlsson 68' goal
  • redcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 4'
  • yellowcard Danny Buijs 12'
  • yellowcard Michael de Leeuw 28'
  • yellowcard Laros Duarte 78'
  • yellowcard Wessel Dammers 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Groningen
Oct 24, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
AZ
  • Cyril Ngonge 20' goal
  • Tomas Suslov 62' yellowcard
  • Michael de Leeuw 71' goal
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 43'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 65'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
Groningen
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AZ
  • Ko Itakura 68' yellowcard
  • Mike te Wierik 72' yellowcard
  • Bart van Hintum 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas Svensson 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
AZ
Dec 6, 2020 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Groningen
  • Fredrik Midtsjo 8' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 21' goal
  • Fredrik Midtsjo 57' redcard
  • Bruno Martins Indi 78' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martins Indi 85' redcard
  • Calvin Stengs 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed El Messaoudi 69'
  • goal Ahmed El Messaoudi 74'
  • yellowcard Patrick Joosten 79'
  • redcard Mohamed El Hankouri 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Groningen
Mar 22, 2020 3.45pm
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
AZ

Form Data

Lazio 1 - 2 AZ
Vitesse 0 - 1 AZ
AZ 2 - 1 Cambuur
Feyenoord 2 - 1 AZ
AZ 5 - 0 Excelsior
AZ 1 - 2 Utrecht
Feyenoord 1 - 0 Groningen
Groningen 3 - 0 Excelsior
Groningen 1 - 1 Emmen
PSV 6 - 0 Groningen
Groningen 1 - 1 FC Twente
Volendam 3 - 2 Groningen