AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Groningen

AZ
1 - 0
Groningen

Karlsson (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AZ
Tuesday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
82.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)11.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.42% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)47.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.54% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)19.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)46.84% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.63% (0.012 0.01)82.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 82.4%
    Groningen 6.26%
    Draw 11.33%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
3-0 @ 10.49%
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.39%
7-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 82.4%
1-1 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 11.33%
1-2 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
0-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 6.26%

How you voted: AZ vs Groningen

AZ Alkmaar
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Groningen
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
Groningen
1-4
AZ
Pepi (42')
Pelupessy (80')
De Wit (3'), Karlsson (19'), Milos (62'), Lahdo (85')
Dec 21, 2021 8pm
AZ
1-0
Groningen
Karlsson (68')

Buijs (12'), de Leeuw (28'), Duarte (78'), Dammers (87')
Kasanwirjo (4')
Oct 24, 2021 7pm
Groningen
2-0
AZ
Ngonge (20'), De Leeuw (71')
Suslov (62')

Hatzidiakos (43'), Gudmundsson (65'), Reijnders (72')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Groningen
0-0
AZ

Itakura (68'), te Wierik (72'), van Hintum (80')

Svensson (70')
Dec 6, 2020 1.30pm
AZ
1-2
Groningen
Koopmeiners (21')
Midtsjo (8'), Martins Indi (78'), Stengs (90+2'), Koopmeiners (90+3'), Wijndal (90+3')
Midtsjo (57'), Martins Indi (85')
El Messaoudi (69', 74')
Joosten (79')
El Hankouri (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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