Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Groningen
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Johan Hove 13' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 50' goal
  • Liam van Gelderen 66' goal

Groningen vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 5.45pm
Groningen 1 - 1 Emmen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2023 7.00pm
Excelsior 0 - 3 Nijmegen
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kenzo Goudmijn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result

Groningen 58.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 22.87% ▼ (-0.03)
SBV Excelsior 18.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.01% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 71.75% ▼ (-0.07)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 83.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 16.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 53.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.29% ▼ (-0.08)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 58.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Groningen 58.97%
Draw 22.86%
SBV Excelsior 18.15%
Groningen
1-0 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 58.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.86%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 18.15%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Excelsior
Jan 8, 2023 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 69' goal
KNVB Beker
Excelsior
Dec 15, 2021 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
ET Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Groningen
  • Reuven Niemeijer 23' goal
  • Julian Baas 69' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 105' yellowcard
  • goal Cyril Ngonge 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Laros Duarte 64'
  • goal Mohamed El Hankouri 85'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 111'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 115'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Groningen
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Noordlease Stadion (Groningen)
Excelsior
  • Paul Gladon 70' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Excelsior
Nov 2, 2018 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Groningen
  • Ryan Koolwijk 36' goal
  • Anouar Hadouir 42' yellowcard
  • Luigi Bruins 59' goal
  • goal Mimoun Mahi 26'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 29'
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 51'
  • goal Jannik Pohl 75'
Eredivisie
Groningen
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Noordlease Stadion (Groningen)
Excelsior
  • Tom van Weert 42' goal
  • Samir Memisevic 45' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 71' goal
  • Tom van Weert 73' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 35'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 45'
Eredivisie
Excelsior
Dec 17, 2017 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Groningen
  • Milan Massop 8' goal
  • Stanley Elbers 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ludovit Reis 72'

Form Data

Groningen 1 - 1 Emmen
PSV 6 - 0 Groningen
Groningen 1 - 1 FC Twente
Volendam 3 - 2 Groningen
Groningen 0 - 1 Cambuur
Heerenveen 3 - 1 Groningen
Excelsior 0 - 3 Nijmegen
AZ 5 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 0 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Excelsior 1 - 4 Ajax
Utrecht 1 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 2 - 0 Volendam