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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Euroborg
Excelsior

Groningen
3 - 0
Excelsior

Hove (13'), Pepi (50'), van Gelderen (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 1-1 Emmen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With two out-of-sorts teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a nervy and tense affair here. That said, we are backing Groningen to make home advantage count and narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawSBV Excelsior
58.98% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 22.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.01% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (0.078000000000003 0.08)49.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (0.068999999999999 0.07)71.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.040999999999997 0.04)16.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)46.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (0.032000000000004 0.03)41.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)77.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 58.97%
    SBV Excelsior 18.15%
    Draw 22.86%
GroningenDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Groningen vs Excelsior

Groningen
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
SBV Excelsior
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 3.45pm
Excelsior
1-0
Groningen
El Yaakoubi (69')
Azarkan (37'), Driouech (59')

van Gelderen (40'), Suslov (61'), Dybvik Maatta (81')
Dec 15, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Niemeijer (23'), Baas (69')
Dallinga (105')
Ngonge (45+1'), El Hankouri (85' pen.), Strand Larsen (111', 115')
Duarte (64')
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Koolwijk (36'), Bruins (59' pen.)
Hadouir (42')
Mahi (26'), Doan (29'), Cassierra (51'), Pohl (75')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
Groningen
4-0
Excelsior
Van Weert (42', 73'), Memisevic (45'), Doan (71')

Koolwijk (35'), Mattheij (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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