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Jesper Karlsson
29'
Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Vitesse Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.30)
2-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.26%
0-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.48)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.17)
2-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 52.2%
