MX23RW : Friday, December 13 21:09:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29')
Sugawara (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.26% (-1.519 -1.52) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11) 52.2% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.879 -0.88)45.19% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.848 -0.85)67.54% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-1.714 -1.71)32.61% (1.716 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-1.967 -1.97)69.15% (1.969 1.97)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.28099999999999 0.28)17.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.49 0.49)47.67% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 24.26%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.2%
    Draw 23.53%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.456 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.476 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 52.2%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
15.7%
Draw
8.4%
AZ Alkmaar
75.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sugawara (42'), de Wit (90+3')
Sankoh (87')
Vidovic (34')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Willem II165471718-119
10Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
11Heerenveen155371628-1218
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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