Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
4 - 0
Excelsior

de Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Spakenburg 1-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 4 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	SBV Excelsior
89.66% ( -0.15)	7.14% ( 0.08)	3.2% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 46.67% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.16% (

0.06)

19.83% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.14% (

0.09)

37.85% (

-0.09)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.37% (

-0.01)

2.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.81% (

-0.04)

12.18% (

0.04)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.93% (

0.45)

52.06% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.95% (

0.29)

86.05% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 89.65%

SBV Excelsior 3.2%

Draw 7.14%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	SBV Excelsior
3-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 10% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 7-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 8-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 89.65%	1-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 7.14%	1-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 3.2%