/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
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Luuk de Jong
12'
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Xavi Simons
78'
-
Fabio Silva
82'
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Erick Gutierrez
87'
PSV Eindhoven vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fruud-van-nistelrooy.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
89.66%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
7.14%
▲
(+0.08)
SBV Excelsior
3.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
46.67%
▲
(+0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
80.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
19.83%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
62.14%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
37.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
42.8%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
57.19%
▼
(-0.10)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
97.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
2.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
87.81%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
12.18%
▲
(+0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5
47.93%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 0.5
52.06%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 1.5
13.95%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
86.05%
▼
(-0.30)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
89.65%
Draw
7.14%
SBV Excelsior
3.2%
PSV Eindhoven
3-0
@
10.98%
▼
(-0.09)
4-0 @ 10% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
7-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
7-1 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
8-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 89.65%
4-0 @ 10% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
7-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
7-1 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
8-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 89.65%
Draw
1-1
@
3.25%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 7.14%
2-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 7.14%
SBV Excelsior
1-2
@
1.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.2%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.2%
Guus Til
68'