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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
| 22.41% ( | 21.83% ( | 55.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.54% ( | 39.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.19% ( | 61.81% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( | 31.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( | 67.37% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( | 14.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.33% ( | 41.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0-3 @ 5.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.15% ( 0-4 @ 2.69% ( 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.76% |