Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

JenS Vesting

Emmen
2 - 0
Excelsior

Romeny (63', 71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emmen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.

Result
Emmen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
70.03% ( -0.55)	18.2% ( 0.29)	11.77% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

-0.65)

42.44% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.16% (

-0.65)

64.84% (

0.65)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.07% (

-0.32)

10.93% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.87% (

-0.71)

35.13% (

0.71)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

0.03)

45.79% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

0.02)

81.56% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Emmen 70.03%

SBV Excelsior 11.77%

Draw 18.2%

Emmen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.03%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.2%	0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.77%