Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 11.15am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Couhaib Driouech 45' goal
  • goal Redouan El Yaakoubi 20' (OG)
  • goal Koki Saito 49'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 56'
  • goal Bart Vriends 60'

SBV Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Groningen 3 - 0 Excelsior
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kenzo Goudmijn

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2023 7.00pm
Sparta 0 - 3 Utrecht
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result

SBV Excelsior 35.72% (-0.04)
Draw 26.46% (+0.02)
Sparta Rotterdam 37.82% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.82% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 52.18% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.11% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.89% (+0.07)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 71.94% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 28.05% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.29% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.71% (+0.08)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 73.17% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.83% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.87% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.13% (+0.03)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 35.72%
Draw 26.46%
Sparta Rotterdam 37.82%
SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.57% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.46%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1 @ 9.9% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 37.82%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joshua Kitolano 90'+1' goal
Eredivisie
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)
  • Milan Massop 3' goal
  • Julian Chabot 18' yellowcard
  • Loris Brogno 32' yellowcard
  • Loris Brogno 42' goal
  • Sander Fischer 85' yellowcard
  • Sherel Floranus 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Messaoud 5'
  • yellowcard Khalid Karami 30'
  • goal Mike van Duinen 44'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 44'
  • yellowcard Jordy de Wijs 66'
  • goal Anouar Hadouir 86'
Eredivisie
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
  • Milan Massop 54' goal
  • Ryan Koolwijk 60' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Mattheij 69' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vermeulen 75' yellowcard
  • Jordy de Wijs 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenneth Dougall 34'
  • yellowcard Sherel Floranus 71'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 86'
Eredivisie
Apr 7, 2017 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Loris Brogno 10' goal
  • Martin Pusic 87' goal
  • goal Nigel Hasselbaink 24'
  • goal Mike van Duinen 44'
  • goal Nigel Hasselbaink 48'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 50'
  • yellowcard Anouar Hadouir 89'
Eredivisie
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Stanley Elbers 26' goal
  • Frederic Ribeiro 30' goal
  • Stanley Elbers 60' yellowcard
  • Nigel Hasselbaink 65' goal
  • goal Loris Brogno 23'
  • yellowcard Thomas Verhaar 65'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 73'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 83'
  • yellowcard Michel Breuer 93'