MX23RW : Friday, December 13 14:59:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK
 
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Excelsior
1 - 4
Sparta

Driouech (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Yaakoubi (20' og.), Saito (49'), Lauritsen (56'), Vriends (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-3 Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Both teams have struggled in front of goal of late, so we expect a low-scoring affair here. Having said that, we are also backing the away side to narrowly come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
35.72% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 26.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 37.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)52.18% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)73.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)28.05% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)63.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.83% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)62.13% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 35.72%
    Sparta Rotterdam 37.82%
    Draw 26.46%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Sparta

SBV Excelsior
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Sparta Rotterdam
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Sparta
1-0
Excelsior
Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')

van Duinen (90')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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