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Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK
 
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Excelsior
1 - 4
Sparta

Driouech (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Yaakoubi (20' og.), Saito (49'), Lauritsen (56'), Vriends (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 0-3 Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
35.72% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)26.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)37.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)52.18% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)73.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)28.05% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)63.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.83% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)62.13% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 35.72%
    Sparta Rotterdam 37.82%
    Draw 26.46%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Sparta

SBV Excelsior
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Sparta Rotterdam
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Sparta
1-0
Excelsior
Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')

van Duinen (90')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')