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Ajax
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
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NEC
PEC Zwolle
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Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Cambuur

Excelsior
4 - 1
Cambuur

Goudmijn (6'), Bergsma (10' og.), Horemans (20'), Lamprou (33')
Markelo (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bangura (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Cambuur
Sunday, March 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Cambuur

There is little separating the teams ahead of Sunday's encounter which could easily swing either way and we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawCambuur
47.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.81% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.79% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)32.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 47.88%
    Cambuur 27.2%
    Draw 24.91%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawCambuur
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.88%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Cambuur

SBV Excelsior
36.4%
Draw
40.9%
Cambuur
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5.45pm
Apr 5, 2021 1.30pm
Cambuur
7-2
Excelsior
Antonia (14'), Muhren (63', 76' pen., 87'), Oratmangoen (71', 84', 90')
Antonia (20')
Zwarts (6'), Mar Omarsson (52')
Oude Kotte (28'), Horemans (74'), Matthys (75'), Bruins (89')
Dec 20, 2020 11.15am
Excelsior
0-1
Cambuur

van der Meer (42'), Aberkane (60')
Muhren (13')
Hoedemakers (32')
Dec 22, 2019 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-3
Cambuur
Vloet (83')
Fischer (34'), Fortes (49'), Verhaar (63'), Meijer (63'), Bruins (93')
Muhren (11' pen.), Jacobs (29'), Kallon (91')
Sambissa (60')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Cambuur
4-0
Excelsior
Jacobs (23'), Van Deelen (31'), Oratmangoen (42'), Antonia (83')
Akoy (16'), Paulissen (88')

Fortes (35'), Horemans (45'), Ebecilio (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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