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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
47.89% ( 0.02) | 24.91% ( -0) | 27.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% ( -0) | 48.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% ( -0) | 70.81% ( 0.01) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( 0.01) | 20.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.21% ( 0.01) | 52.79% ( -0.01) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.01) | 32.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.01) | 68.58% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.88% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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