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Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Cambuur

Excelsior
4 - 1
Cambuur

Goudmijn (6'), Bergsma (10' og.), Horemans (20'), Lamprou (33')
Markelo (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bangura (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Cambuur
Sunday, March 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Cambuur

There is little separating the teams ahead of Sunday's encounter which could easily swing either way and we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawCambuur
47.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.81% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.79% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)32.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 47.88%
    Cambuur 27.2%
    Draw 24.91%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawCambuur
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.88%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Cambuur

SBV Excelsior
36.4%
Draw
40.9%
Cambuur
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5.45pm
Apr 5, 2021 1.30pm
Cambuur
7-2
Excelsior
Antonia (14'), Muhren (63', 76' pen., 87'), Oratmangoen (71', 84', 90')
Antonia (20')
Zwarts (6'), Mar Omarsson (52')
Oude Kotte (28'), Horemans (74'), Matthys (75'), Bruins (89')
Dec 20, 2020 11.15am
Excelsior
0-1
Cambuur

van der Meer (42'), Aberkane (60')
Muhren (13')
Hoedemakers (32')
Dec 22, 2019 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-3
Cambuur
Vloet (83')
Fischer (34'), Fortes (49'), Verhaar (63'), Meijer (63'), Bruins (93')
Muhren (11' pen.), Jacobs (29'), Kallon (91')
Sambissa (60')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Cambuur
4-0
Excelsior
Jacobs (23'), Van Deelen (31'), Oratmangoen (42'), Antonia (83')
Akoy (16'), Paulissen (88')

Fortes (35'), Horemans (45'), Ebecilio (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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