Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.82%) and 0-3 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-0 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Spakenburg	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
10.15% ( -0.05)	16.86% ( 0.51)	72.99% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.2% (

-2.61)

40.8% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81% (

-2.72)

63.19% (

2.72)

Spakenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.31% (

-1.84)

47.68% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17% (

-1.4)

83% (

1.4)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.25% (

-0.77)

9.75% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.55% (

-1.83)

32.45% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Spakenburg 10.15%

PSV Eindhoven 72.98%

Draw 16.86%

Spakenburg	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.15%	1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.86%	0-2 @ 12.59% ( 0.64) 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.9) 0-3 @ 9.78% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.24) 0-5 @ 2.65% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.2) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 72.98%