AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Emmen

Ajax
3 - 1
Emmen

Sanchez (22'), Bergwijn (37'), Tadic (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Antonisse (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Emmen

All competitions
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.35%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawEmmen
80.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)11.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)7.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.01% (0.034000000000006 0.03)25.99% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.11% (0.012999999999991 0.01)4.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)19.65% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.47% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 80.76%
    Emmen 7.26%
    Draw 11.97%
AjaxDrawEmmen
3-0 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 4.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
7-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 80.76%
1-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.97%
1-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 7.26%

How you voted: Ajax vs Emmen

Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
Emmen
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.45pm
Emmen
3-3
Ajax
Veldmate (6'), Zivkovic (58'), Bouchouari (84')
Assehnoun (74')
Taylor (8', 21'), Bergwijn (25')
May 2, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
4-0
Emmen
Maduro (10'), Haller (61'), Rensch (66'), Klaassen (74')
Alvarez (57'), Tagliafico (65')

Cavlan (14'), Vlak (61')
Nov 28, 2020 5.45pm
Emmen
0-5
Ajax
Klaassen (20'), Labyad (29'), Traore (38'), Ekkelenkamp (69'), Promes (82')
Klaiber (79')
Apr 12, 2020 1.30pm
Emmen
P-P
Ajax
Aug 10, 2019 6.45pm
Ajax
5-0
Emmen
Van de Beek (27'), Ziyech (47'), Tadic (66'), Huntelaar (80', 88')

Bakker (92')
rhs 2.0


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