Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.