KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals

Apr 5, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
1 - 2
Ajax

Gimenez (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tadic (14'), Klaassen (51')

Reaction

Ajax's Davy Klaassen during the warm up before the match on February 23, 2022

Davy Klaassen left injured after crowd trouble during Feyenoord, Ajax semi-final

Feyenoord and Ajax's cup semi-final was stopped for almost half an hour after a missile from the stands struck Ajax midfielder Davy Klaassen.

Apr 6, 17:08

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Feyenoord and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Sparta 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 2 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Ajax
45.87% ( 13.47)	22.86% ( 0.91)	31.27% ( -14.38)

Both teams to score 63.96% (

-4.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

-5.09)

36.88% (

5.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.94% (

-5.73)

59.06% (

5.73)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

3.75)

16.53% (

-3.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.71% (

6.36)

46.29% (

-6.36)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-8.71)

23.37% (

8.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-14.54)

57.34% (

14.53)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 45.87%

Ajax 31.27%

Draw 22.85%

Feyenoord	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 1.83) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 2.21) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 2.47) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 1.59) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 1.74) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.91) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.89) Other @ 4.46% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.99) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.89) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 7.35% ( -1.4) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -1.4) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -2.04) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -1.26) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -1.53) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -1.39) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.98) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.27%