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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 11.77% ( | 15.46% ( | 72.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.22% ( | 28.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( | 36.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( | 73.3% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.13% ( | 6.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.74% ( | 25.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.41% ( 1-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 2-0 @ 1.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.77% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.46% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 1-3 @ 8.09% ( 0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-4 @ 5.42% ( 0-4 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 1-5 @ 2.9% ( 0-5 @ 2.88% ( 2-4 @ 2.73% ( 2-5 @ 1.46% ( 1-6 @ 1.3% ( 0-6 @ 1.29% ( 3-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.77% |