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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 22.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 22.46% | 21.79% | 55.76% |
| Both teams to score 59.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.8% | 39.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.47% | 61.52% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% | 30.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% | 67.14% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% | 13.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.5% | 41.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 5.07% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.8% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.69% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.76% |