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Groningen
Heerenveen
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Vitesse

Sparta
3 - 1
Vitesse

Verschueren (11'), Saito (45'), Kitolano (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Oroz (7')
Wittek (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-1 AZ
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Vitesse

Sparta will have renewed confidence after their big win last week, while Vitesse are in the middle of a rut and could fall even further down the standings this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
37.29% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 25% (0.035 0.04) 37.71% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (-0.162 -0.16)45.66% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.154 -0.15)67.98% (0.154 0.15)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)24.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)58.41% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)23.88% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (-0.192 -0.19)58.08% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 37.29%
    Vitesse 37.71%
    Draw 25%
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.29%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.71%

How you voted: Sparta vs Vitesse

Sparta Rotterdam
70.2%
Draw
14.9%
Vitesse
14.9%
47
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
Apr 19, 2022 5.45pm
Vitesse
0-1
Sparta

Bero (40'), Buitink (49'), Wittek (67')
Dalmau (5')
Beugelsdijk (18'), Auassar (40'), (67'), Engels (87')
Dec 18, 2021 5.45pm
Sparta
2-2
Vitesse
Mijnans (70', 90+2')
Frederiksen (16', 37')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Sep 19, 2020 5.45pm
Vitesse
2-0
Sparta
Tannane (27'), Broja (82')
Darfalou (44'), Hajek (53')

Harroui (6'), Heylen (20'), Pinto (54')
Heylen (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Feyenoord16105140182235
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
4Ajax15103232161633
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
8NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
9Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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