Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
3 - 1
Vitesse

Verschueren (11'), Saito (45'), Kitolano (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Oroz (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-1 AZ
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Vitesse
37.29% ( 0.08)	25% ( 0.04)	37.71% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.76% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

-0.16)

45.66% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

-0.15)

67.98% (

0.15)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89% (

-0.03)

24.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59% (

-0.04)

58.41% (

0.04)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

-0.14)

23.88% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.91% (

-0.19)

58.08% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 37.29%

Vitesse 37.71%

Draw 25%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.71%